Probabilities

It's always amusing when people are overly confident about something they believe to be the absolute truth, or when they persistently use terms like "always," "never," "impossible," "unreal," or "irrational."

We live in a world of probabilities. It's impossible to have anything be truly impossible within the realm of probabilities.

Our understanding of nature, science, life, and even spirituality is based on probabilities and approximations, not certainties and absolute truths of some sort.

If you are convinced that something is 100% true no matter what, you will usually make any self-respecting scientist laugh very hard.

Your ignorance about the nature of our reality might be certain, but expect that, at some point, you must come to understand that you actually don't have ultimate control over anything. The more you try to understand something, the more you will realize how little you actually know about it.

Nothing is ever certain. (The paradox of using "ever," "nothing," and "certain" in the same sentence after what I just wrote amuses me very much right now).

But the truth is, there are only probabilities of things happening a certain way. There might be a very high possibility of something occurring, or there might be a very low or almost impossible chance of it happening.

Or we might simply have no idea about the real probability of it occurring or not, because we don't yet possess enough information about it to truly know. We might actually be completely clueless about our immediate reality and why things unfold the way they do.

We have no choice but to surrender to the unknown in those situations.

It's also funny when people talk to me about being scared of the "unknown." If you were truly scared of the unknown, you would have no chance of being born or even surviving.

There is a part of you that is absolutely fearless towards, and even in love with, the unknown. This part of you is with you every single moment of your existence.

Even with every breath you take, you are actually surrendering yourself to the unknown every time because, in reality, you have no idea what actually comes into your body or how it might react (or not) to the air you breathe.

Every single person you meet has the potential to drastically and radically change your entire life. And you could have never predicted it or seen it coming.

If you truly observe your life, you will see that there are many different and even obvious cycles and patterns. However, the certainty of things occurring exactly as you thought or wanted is actually very low and very rare.

Your life is most likely filled with many different mysteries and very improbable events that actually made you redefine and even change what your personal inner truth is.

Some events or people can profoundly change your entire belief system, your inner ultimate truth, and even your deep values. Most of the time, all of that is exactly what is happening; we are just very rarely consciously aware of it or how it works.

The more certainties you have in your mind about life, nature, or even yourself, the more stable, rational, and predictable your life and reality will feel to you (at least at first).

However, you will also go in the same known and logical circles or patterns, and you will feel like every day is the same. Yes, you might feel more safe, secure, and comfortable in your nervous system at that moment, but you will also most likely feel deeply bored, depressed, and even sad about the rest of your life and our shared reality.

Being certain and fully convinced about something is not a sign of authentic intelligence, power, or even valuable expertise and wisdom. Most of the time, it's actually a very good sign of profound ignorance about a topic and a very limited understanding of how things are interconnected.

Our world and our shared reality are unpredictable, incomprehensible, non-linear, and highly uncertain.

It has always been this way and will probably remain so.

We can be in denial of this truth and try to create strategies, tools, surveillance or security systems, and other "innovations" to make us believe we have control of some sort, or to reassure our minds that everything will follow the "plan," that we are protected and safe, and that we will get the exact results we want if we follow the same recipe we always did.

Understanding the cycle of how things unfold naturally and trying to control a cycle to make it predictable for you is not the same thing at all.

Emergence and control do not dance the same way and they do not create the same things in our shared reality.

If all the cycles were truly predictable and if a concept of ultimate truth were real, the concept of "strategy" or even evolution itself would not make sense.

Strategy of any sort only makes sense in an unpredictable world. You need to play with probabilities, uncertainty, and the unknown for any strategy to make sense.

If you know everything about yourself, your "opponent," and the game you play together, you don't need any strategy. Everything is already clear, known, and must follow the predicted and very logical path. It's very safe and comfortable to repeat the same cycles over and over and start believing we understood something true or real about life, nature, or the game of our shared reality.

But life doesn't work this way, does it?

The only thing in this reality that follows predictable loops, probabilities, and the same patterns is your very limited mind and its set of very illogical and even very boring limiting beliefs.

Everything else follows only the probability of very unpredictable emergent evolution in the here and now.

And true evolution is always unknown and uncertain, and it will probably always remain this way.

The ultimate truth is that you actually know nothing for real, and this is exactly why the probability of you continuing to have fun for eternity might be truly very high.